Shoutout to the tiny AI model that guessed my bakery order wrong, and taught me something about fine-tuning

Lucas Taylor · 2026-09-12T01:30:04.384937+00:00

I run a small bakery in Portland and messed around with a tiny open source model on my laptop to predict daily croissant demand. Fed it two years of sales data and it kept overshooting Fridays by 40 percent, so I added a note about rainy weather and it flipped to undershooting by 30. Turns out the model was just copying whatever pattern I fed it last, which is basically what happens when you fine-tune on too little data. Anyone else run into this where the model seems smart until you give it one weird input and it falls apart?

Vivisector

Loading…

Shoutout to the tiny AI model that guessed my bakery order wrong, and taught me something about fine-tuning | AI Innovations - Vivisector